Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. We identify swing states as. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. That solved the problem. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Electoral votes invalidated. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. #V. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. Tap or hover to see names. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Republican The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Map of election results. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. State voted with the overall winning candidate. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. But. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Iapologize.). While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Continue with Recommended Cookies. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Dec. 10, 2020. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. More than a . Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Tennessee. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! Error! Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Out of. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. What determines a state's "color"? Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. And West Virginia is losing. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate.

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